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雷达卡
This book provides a practical, comprehensive and in-depth look at the subject of risk and simulation modeling for business applications. The content of the book is based on tried and tested training materials (Michael Rees has been training this topic regularly since 2004) including: Fundamentals of Risk Analysis and Modelling Simulation Modelling using Excel and VBA Core Topics in Risk Modelling using @RISK Dependency and Correlation Modelling Selection and Use of Distributions Further Example Models Further Features of the @RISK Software ? The book will include practical application in areas including: cost estimation, budgetting and contingency planning, risk registers and event risks, scenario modelling, cash flow and valuation modelling, revenue and cost forecasting, portfolio optimisation, time-series modelling, project schedule and cost integration, resource planning, capital expenditure planning, reinsurance modelling, fire safety models, oil and gas and resource-industry models. The relevant underlying theory and statistical concepts will be covered, from a practical yet rigorous perspective, so that the material will be accessible to a wide variety of practitioners (the focus will be non-mathematical, although some mathematics will be included).
Business Risk and Simulation Modelling in Practice Using Excel, VBA and @RISK.pdf
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