发帖
雷达卡
2 作者信息
Guoqiang Tian
School of Economics and Institute for Advanced Research, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
Department of Economics, Texas A&M University
3 出处
Guoqiang Tian. Deceleration of China’s Economic Growth: Causes and Countermeasures[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 3-25.
链接
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-008-019-0002-4
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/Y2019/V14/I1/3
4 摘要
Abstract: China’s economic growth has been declining continuously at a rapid ratesince 2011. It dropped to 6.7% in 2016 by more than 3% from nearly 10% average growth rate during 1979–2010. As for its causes, there are different interpretations among Chinese economists. One of the interpretations, which is held by some scholars including Justin Yifu Lin, is that external and cyclical factors are the main causes for the decline. The author disagrees with this viewpoint and holds that the root cause of economic deceleration is the delayed adoption of deep institutional reforms. An inclusive economy and state coercive capacity are two essential ingredients for sustaining economic prosperity. China must further enhance economic inclusiveness, and accelerate its transition into an efficiency-driven and innovation-driven economy through deepened comprehensive marketization reforms. Meanwhile, it should build a limited government that is capable, accountable, effective and caring, with strengthening the rule of law.
中国经济增长减速：成因与对策
田国强
上海财经大学经济学院、高等研究院
得州农工大学经济系
摘 要：中国经济增速自2011年以来出现了持续快速下滑，从1979-2010年间近10%的年均增长率降至2016年的6.7%，下滑了3个百分点以上。究其成因，中国经济学家有不同解读。林毅夫教授等人认为中国经济增速持续快速下滑主要是由外部性和周期性原因造成的。本文作者持不同观点，认为深层次制度性改革滞后才是造成中国经济增长持续大幅减速的根源。经济上的包容性和依法治国能力是经济持续繁荣的两大必要条件，因此中国需要通过深层次、全方位的市场化改革，进一步提升经济包容性，促进向效率驱动和创新驱动的转变；同时进一步提升依法治国能力，构建有能、有为、有效、有爱的有限政府。
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