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Projected Costs of Generating Electricity 2010 Edition
出版者:INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY/NUCLEAR ENERGY AGENCY/OECD
頁數:218
目次:
Part I Methodology and Data on Levelised Costs for Generating Electricity
Chapter 1 Introduction and context ..................................................................................................................... 29
Chapter 2 Methodology, conventions and key assumptions................................................................. 33
2.1 The notion of levelised costs of electricity (LCOE).................................................. 33
2.2 The EGC spreadsheet model for calculating LCOE ................................................ 37
2.3 Methodological conventions and key assumptions for calculating
LCOE with the EGC spreadsheet model ....................................................................... 41
Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 45
Chapter 3 Technology overview .............................................................................................................................. 47
3.1 Presentation of different power technologies .......................................................... 47
3.2 Technology-by-technology data on electricity generating costs .................. 59
Chapter 4 Country-by-country data on electricity generating costs for
different technologies ............................................................................................................................ 65
4.1 Country-by-country data on electricity generating costs (bar graphs) .... 65
4.2 Country-by-country data on electricity generating costs
(numerical tables) ...................................................................................................................... 89
12
Part II Sensitivity analyses and boundary issues
Chapter 5 Median case ................................................................................................................................................ 101
Chapter 6 Sensitivity analyses ............................................................................................................................... 105
6.1 Multi-dimensional sensitivity analysis ........................................................................ 106
6.2 Summary results of the sensitivity analyses for different parameters ... 112
6.3 Qualitative discussion of different variables affecting the LCOE ................. 123
Chapter 7 System integration aspects of variable renewable power generation ..................... 141
7.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 141
7.2 Variability........................................................................................................................................ 142
7.3 Flexibility........................................................................................................................................ 145
7.4 Costing variable renewable integration........................................................................ 146
7.5 Power system adequacy.......................................................................................................... 149
Chapter 8 Financing issues ....................................................................................................................................... 151
8.1 Social resource cost and private investment cost: the difference
is uncertainty ............................................................................................................................... 151
8.2 The role of corporate taxes and the coherence of fiscal and
energy policy ................................................................................................................................ 155
8.3 The impact of the financial and economic crisis ................................................... 158
8.4 Options for improving investment conditions in the power sector ........... 160
Chapter 9 Levelised costs and the working of actual power markets ............................................ 163
9.1 Use and limitations of LCOE ............................................................................................... 164
9.2 Power market functioning and electricity pricing in
competitive markets ................................................................................................................ 168
9.3 Qualitative assessment of major risks associated with generation
technologies ................................................................................................................................. 172
9.4 Policy considerations ............................................................................................................... 174
Chapter 10 Carbon capture and storage ............................................................................................................... 177
10.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 177
10.2 Role of CCS in CO2 mitigation .......................................................................................... 178
10.3 CO2 capture and storage in power generation ...................................................... 181
10.4 Demonstration and deployment of CCS ................................................................... 187
Chapter 11 Synthesis report on other studies of the levelised cost of electricity........................ 189
11.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 189
11.2 Common lessons ..................................................................................................................... 196
ANNEXES
Annex 1 Issues concerning data from non-OECD countries and assumptions for
the electricity generating cost calculations .............................................................................. 201
Brazil ............................................................................................................................................................ 202
China ........................................................................................................................................................... 204
Russia .......................................................................................................................................................... 208
South Africa ............................................................................................................................................ 210
Annex 2 List of abbreviations ............................................................................................................................... 213
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