1. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY 1
1.1 Introduction 1
1.2 Replacement Lamps Overview 4
1.3 Method of Analysis 10
1.4 Market Summary 13
1.4.1 2008 Market Overview 13
1.4.2 Market Forecast Summary 15
2. SCOPE AND DEFINITIONS 19
2.1 Scope 19
2.2 Product and Application Definitions 21
3. OVERVIEW AND BACKGROUND 23
3.1 Lighting Market Overview 23
3.2 Market Drivers 27
3.2.1 LED Lighting Technology-Specific Market Drivers 27
3.2.2 Green Consciousness 29
3.2.3 Price of Electricity 29
3.2.4 Energy Price Uncertainty 32
3.2.5 Regulations 33
3.3 Challenges 36
3.3.1 High Prices 36
3.3.2 Replacement Lamp Design and Manufacturing 37
3.3.3 Efficacy of Lamp Design 38
3.3.3.1 Power Management and Drivers 39
3.3.3.2 Thermal Management 40
3.3.3.3 Optics 41
3.3.4 Product Reliability 41
3.3.5 Quality Issues 42
3.3.6 Recessionary Pressures 42
3.3.7 LED Education 44
3.3.8 Few High-CRI, High-Efficiency Warm White LEDs Available 45
3.3.9 Few Lamps With Acceptable Power Factor 45
3.3.10 Competing Lighting Technologies 45
3.4 Types of Replacement Lamps 56
3.4.1 A-Lamps and Globes 56
3.4.2 Candelabra and Other Decorative Lamps 58
3.4.3 PAR and R-Lamps 58
3.4.4 MR16 59
3.4.5 Linear Fluorescent Replacements 60
3.5 Replacement Lamp Manufacturers 62
4. SEGMENT ANALYSIS AND MARKET FORECAST 63
4.1 Introduction 63
4.2 LED Replacement Lamp Market Segment Analysis 65
4.2.1 A-Lamps and Globes 65
4.2.1.1 Market Definition 65
4.2.1.2 Market Trends 66
4.2.1.3 Market Size and Forecast 72
4.2.1.4 Competitive Environment 75
4.2.2 PAR and R-Lamp Replacements 77
4.2.2.1 Market Definition 77
4.2.2.2 Market Trends 79
4.2.2.3 Regulatory Trends 82
4.2.2.4 Market Size and Forecast 86
4.2.2.5 Competitive Environment 88
4.2.3 MR16 Replacements 91
4.2.3.1 Market Definition 91
4.2.3.2 Market Trends 93
4.2.3.3 Market Size 96
4.2.3.4 Competitive Environment 97
4.2.4 Candelabra Replacements 100
4.2.4.1 Market Definition 100
4.2.4.2 Market Trends 102
4.2.4.3 Market Size 103
4.2.4.4 Competitive Environment 104
4.2.5 Linear Fluorescent Tube Replacements 105
4.2.5.1 Market Definition 107
4.2.5.2 Market Trends 108
4.2.5.3 Market Size 109
4.2.5.4 Competitive Environment 110
5. LED REPLACEMENT LAMP MARKET SUMMARY 113
5.1 Forecast Summary 115
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