1、Real Options Analysis Course - Business Cases and Software Applications 2003年版作者:JOHNATHAN MUN
目录:
CHAPTER 1
Installing the Software 1
Installing Crystal Ball Monte Carlo
Simulation Software 1
Installing Real Options Analysis Toolkit Software 8
CHAPTER 2
Getting Started with the Software 15
Getting Started with Crystal Ball Software 15
Getting Started with Real Options Analysis
Toolkit Software 22
CHAPTER 3
Framing Real Options 39
Step 1: Qualify List of Projects and Strategies 40
Step 2: Forecast Base-Case Variables for Each Project 41
Step 3: Create Static DCF Models for Each Case 42
Step 4: Monte Carlo Simulation—DCF Outputs Become
Real Options Inputs 43
Step 5: Framing the Real Options 46
Step 6: Options Analytics, Simulation,
and Optimization 54
Step 7: Reports, Presentations, and Update Analysis 55
CHAPTER 4
The Basics of Financial Modeling 57
Financial Analysis 57
Monte Carlo Simulation 61
Volatility Estimates 64
CHAPTER 5
The Basics of Real Options 73
Binomial Lattices 73
Granularities in Lattices 77
State-Pricing Approach to Solving a European Option 88
Trinomial Lattices and American Options 90
CHAPTER 6
Real Options Business Cases 95
Option to Abandon 95
Option to Expand 105
Option to Contract 117
Option to Choose 126
Compound Options 136
Closed-Form Compound Options 144
Sequential Compound Option 148
Changing Costs 154
Changing Volatility 158
Option to Contract and Abandon 162
Basic Black-Scholes with Dividends 167
Barrier Options 171
Stochastic Timing Options 175
Switching Option 178
Closed-Form Equations and Binomial Convergence 183
Nonrecombining Lattices 189
CHAPTER 7
Extended Problems: Combining Forecasting, DCF Modeling,
Real Options, and Optimization 201
CHAPTER 8
Exercise Solutions 213
CHAPTER 9
Real Options Analysis Toolkit Software Function
Description for Excel 239
CHAPTER 10
Real Options Tables 251
Real Options Value Tables 251
Implied Volatility Tables 266
Dividend Impact Tables 272
APPENDIX
Case Studies 281
More, Faster, Cheaper—The Siren Call
of Upstream R&D 281
Real Options Analysis Applied to Valuing
Start-Up Entities: The Digital News, Inc. 284
INDEX 295
2、REAL OPTIONS THEORY 2007年
EDITED BY
JEFFREY J. REUER
University of North Carolina, USA
TONY W. TONG
University of Colorado, USA
CONTENTS
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix
PART I: INTRODUCTION
REAL OPTIONS IN STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
Tony W. Tong and Jeffrey J. Reuer 3
PART II: ADVANCES IN REAL OPTIONS
RESEARCH IN STRATEGY
REAL OPTIONS: TAKING STOCK AND LOOKING
AHEAD
Yong Li, Barclay E. James, Ravi Madhavan and
Joseph T. Mahoney
31
REAL OPTIONS THEORY AND INTERNATIONAL
STRATEGY: A CRITICAL REVIEW
Jing Li 67
JOINT VENTURES AND REAL OPTIONS: AN
INTEGRATED PERSPECTIVE
Ilya R. P. Cuypers and Xavier Martin 103
HOW DO REAL OPTIONS MATTER? EMPIRICAL
RESEARCH ON STRATEGIC INVESTMENTS AND
FIRM PERFORMANCE
Jeffrey J. Reuer and Tony W. Tong 145
PART III: REAL OPTIONS AND STRATEGIC
INVESTMENT DECISIONS
STRATEGIC GROWTH OPTIONS IN NETWORK
INDUSTRIES
Lihui Lin and Nalin Kulatilaka 177
MARKET VERSUS MANAGERIAL VALUATIONS OF
REAL OPTIONS
Timothy B. Folta and Jonathan P. O’Brien 199
DEFERRAL AND GROWTH OPTIONS UNDER
SEQUENTIAL INNOVATION
Michael J. Leiblein and Arvids A. Ziedonis 225
BUSINESS METHOD PATENTS AS REAL OPTIONS:
VALUE AND DISCLOSURE AS DRIVERS OF
LITIGATION
Atul Nerkar, Srikanth Paruchuri and Mukti Khaire 247
MANAGING A PORTFOLIO OF REAL OPTIONS
Jaideep Anand, Raffaele Oriani and
Roberto S. Vassolo
275
PART IV: ORGANIZATIONAL AND MANAGERIAL
DIMENSIONS OF REAL OPTIONS
CAPABILITIES, REAL OPTIONS, AND THE
RESOURCE ALLOCATION PROCESS
Catherine A. Maritan and Todd M. Alessandri 307
REAL OPTIONS MEET ORGANIZATIONAL THEORY:
COPING WITH PATH DEPENDENCIES, AGENCY
COSTS, AND ORGANIZATIONAL FORM
Russell W. Coff and Kevin J. Laverty 333
REAL OPTIONS AND RESOURCE REALLOCATION
PROCESSES
Ron Adner 363
WHY INVEST IN FIRM-SPECIFIC HUMAN CAPITAL?
A REAL OPTIONS VIEW OF EMPLOYMENT
CONTRACTS
Todd Fister and Anju Seth 373
PART V: PERFORMANCE IMPLICATIONS
OF REAL OPTIONS
AN EXAMINATION OF OPTIONS EMBEDDED IN A
FIRM’S PATENTS: THE VALUE OF DISPERSION IN
CITATIONS
Tailan Chi and Edward Levitas 405
TECHNOLOGY SWITCHING OPTION AND THE
MARKET VALUE OF THE FIRM: A MODEL AND
AN EMPIRICAL TEST
Raffaele Oriani 429
STRATEGIC IMPLICATIONS OF VALUATION:
EVIDENCE FROM VALUING GROWTH OPTIONS
Todd M. Alessandri, Diane M. Lander and
Richard A. Bettis
459
AN EMPIRICAL EXAMINATION OF MANAGEMENT
OF REAL OPTIONS IN THE U.S. VENTURE CAPITAL
INDUSTRY
Isin Guler 485
3、《战略投资学-实物期权与博弈论》中文版
《Strategic Investment
Real Options and Games》 的中文版Han T. J. Smit
Lenos Trigeorgis著