- 越来越多的文献得出结论,恐怖主义影响经济,但人们对恐怖主义对个人福利的影响知之甚少。 本文利用美国时间使用情况调查和福祉补编中的代表性每日数据,估算了2013年波士顿马拉松炸弹袭击对福祉的影响。 使用2012年波士顿马拉松作为反事实,结合回归不连续性和差异差异设计,我们发现标准差的三分之一会立即得到改善。 特别是,幸福感急剧下降,负面情绪明显上升。 虽然效果不会持续超过一周,但可能会带来不利的健康和经济后果。
- A growing literature has concluded that terrorism affects the economy, yet less is known about its impact on individual welfare. This paper estimates the impact of the 2013 Boston Marathon Bombing on well-being, exploiting representative daily data from the American Time Use Survey and Well-Being Supplement. Using a combined regression discontinuity and differences-in-differences design, with the 2012 Boston marathon as a counterfactual, we find an immediate reduction in well-being of a third of a standard deviation. In particular, happiness declined sharply and negative emotions rose significantly. While the effects do not persist beyond one week, they may entail adverse health and economic consequence.