我国城市居民消费宏观计量分析与预测

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摘要：宏观的城市居民消费受很多因素的影响，如何确定其衡量指标，是值得探讨的问题。通过对相关理论的回顾与分析，确定了我国城市居民消费的衡量指标：国民收入、年平均货币流通量、前一年的城市消费居民额、城市居民消费物价指数，并利用计量工具Eviews5.0进行筛选，建立我国城市居民消费模型，以此为依据对我国城市居民消费进行预测，并提出可控性的建议和措施促进城市居民消费。
Abstract: Urban residents' consumption of the macro is affected by many factors ， how to determine the measure, is worthy of discussion. Through the review of relevant theoretical analysis, and definitethe urban consumer measure: national income, average annual monetary flow, the consumption of last year's city, the consumer price index of urban residents consumption, and to use the Eviews5.0 measuring tool, establish our screening city residents' consumption model on the basis of urban residents' consumption, and put forward the control predict the Suggestions and measures to promote urban residents' consumption.
关键词：城市居民消费
国民收入
居民消费价格指数
年平均货币流通量
Keywords: urban residents' consumption
The national income
Consumer price index
Average annual monetary flow

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关键词：城市居民 计量分析 宏观计量 consumption Suggestions determine 国民收入 factors 模型 如何