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【原文出处】重庆大学学报:社科版
【原刊期号】20081
【原刊页号】23~27
【分 类 号】F103
【分 类 名】劳动经济与劳动关系
【复印期号】200803
【英文标题】Changes in Industry Structure and Employment Effect in China During the Transformation :Regression Analysis and Cointegration Test Based on Panel Data
Pu Yanping Chen Juan
(College of Trade and Public Administration, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China)
【作 者】蒲艳萍/陈娟
【作者简介】蒲艳萍,重庆大学贸易与行政学院经贸系系主任,副教授,博士;陈娟,重庆大学贸易与行政学院。(重庆 400044)
【内容提要】文章通过1997-2004年的面板数据对中国产业结构变动与就业进行实证分析与检验,结果显示:产业结构变动方向、产业结构变动速度对转型期的中国就业有显著影响,产业结构变动方向与就业正相关,产业结构变动速度与就业负相关;产业结构变动的就业创造效应大于就业破坏效应,产业结构变动的净结果使就业增加;转型期的就业与产业结构变动方向、产业结构变动速度之间存在长期稳定的关系。
【摘 要 题】理论动态
【英文摘要】This paper analyzes the effect of industry structure on employment by regression analysis and cointegration test based on panel data from 1997 to 2004, the author explores that there is significant relationship between employment during the transformation of China and changes in industry structure optimizing and industry structure changing degree. Industry structure optimizing is positively related with the employment, and the industry structure changing degree is negatively related with employment. Changes in industry structure have positive effect on employment, that is, employment creation is higher than the damages resulted from changes in industry structure. The cointegration test on panel data suggests that there exists a long stable relationship between employment and changes in industry structure in transition period.
【关 键 词】产业结构变动方向/产业结构变动速度/就业效应
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