《双碳目标驱动的数字化新型电力系统》(中文)
《Renewables2021-Analysis and forecast to 2026》(英文)
《POLICY TOOLBOX FOR LOW CARBON AND RENEWABLE HYDROGEN》(英文)
Improved policies and COP26 climate goals are set to
propel renewable electricity growth to new heights
Additions of renewable power capacity are on track to set yet another annual
record in 2021, driven by solar PV. Almost 290 gigawatts (GW) of new
renewable power will be commissioned this year, which is 3% higher than 2020’s
already exceptional growth. Solar PV alone accounts for more than half of all
renewable power expansion in 2021, followed by wind and hydropower.
The growth of renewable capacity is forecast to accelerate in the next five
years, accounting for almost 95% of the increase in global power capacity
through 2026. We have revised up our forecast from a year earlier, as stronger
policy support and ambitious climate targets announced for COP26 outweigh the
current record commodity prices that have increased the costs of building new
wind and solar PV installations. Globally, renewable electricity capacity is forecast
to increase by over 60% between 2020 and 2026, reaching more than 4 800 GW.
This is equivalent to the current global power capacity of fossil fuels and nuclear
combined. Overall, China remains the leader over the next five years, accounting
for 43% of global renewable capacity growth, followed by Europe, the United
States and India. These four markets alone account for 80% of renewable capacity
expansion worldwide.
China and the European Union are set to overshoot their current targets,
setting the stage for a more ambitious growth trajectory. China’s commitment
to reach carbon neutrality before 2060 has led to new nearer-term targets, such
as 1 200 GW of total wind and solar PV capacity by 2030. We forecast that China
will reach this target four years early thanks to the availability of long-term
contracts, improved grid integration, and the cost competitiveness of onshore wind
and solar PV compared with coal generation in many provinces. The trajectory of
renewable capacity growth over the 2021-26 period indicates that renewable
power growth in the European Union as a whole is set to outpace what the current
National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) envision for 2030. This trend
supports the ambition of reaching the stronger targets being finalised under the
“Fit for 55” programme. Rapid deployment is being driven by member countries
implementing larger auction volumes, corporations contracting for more
renewable electricity, and consumers continuing to install large amounts of solar
panels.
- Renewables2021-Analysisandforecastto2026.pdf
- 双碳目标驱动的数字化新型电力系统.pdf
- POLICY TOOLBOX FOR LOW CARBON AND RENEWABLE HYDROGEN.pdf