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摘要翻译：
分位数回归是经济学和其他科学中越来越重要的经验工具，用于分析一组回归对结果的条件分布的影响。极值分位数回归，或用于尾部的分位数回归，在许多经济和金融应用中都有兴趣，如条件风险价值、生产效率和(S，S)模型中的调整带。本文给出了极端条件分位点模型的可行推理工具，这些模型依赖于对自归一化分位点回归统计量分布的极值逼近。这些方法实现简单，即使在非回归的情况下也可以独立地感兴趣。我们用两个实证例子说明了结果，分析了股票收益率的极端波动和活婴儿出生体重在250到1500克之间的极低百分位数。
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英文标题：
《Inference for Extremal Conditional Quantile Models, with an Application
to Market and Birthweight Risks》
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作者：
Victor Chernozhukov, Ivan Fernandez-Val
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最新提交年份：
2009
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分类信息：
一级分类：Statistics 统计学
二级分类：Methodology 方法论
分类描述：Design, Surveys, Model Selection, Multiple Testing, Multivariate Methods, Signal and Image Processing, Time Series, Smoothing, Spatial Statistics, Survival Analysis, Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods
设计，调查，模型选择，多重检验，多元方法，信号和图像处理，时间序列，平滑，空间统计，生存分析，非参数和半参数方法
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一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Mathematics 数学
二级分类：Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述：Applied, computational and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments, case studies
应用统计、计算统计和理论统计：例如统计推断、回归、时间序列、多元分析、数据分析、马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗、实验设计、案例研究
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Risk Management 风险管理
分类描述：Measurement and management of financial risks in trading, banking, insurance, corporate and other applications
衡量和管理贸易、银行、保险、企业和其他应用中的金融风险
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一级分类：Statistics 统计学
二级分类：Statistics Theory 统计理论
分类描述：stat.TH is an alias for math.ST. Asymptotics, Bayesian Inference, Decision Theory, Estimation, Foundations, Inference, Testing.
Stat.Th是Math.St的别名。渐近，贝叶斯推论，决策理论，估计，基础，推论，检验。
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英文摘要：
Quantile regression is an increasingly important empirical tool in economics and other sciences for analyzing the impact of a set of regressors on the conditional distribution of an outcome. Extremal quantile regression, or quantile regression applied to the tails, is of interest in many economic and financial applications, such as conditional value-at-risk, production efficiency, and adjustment bands in (S,s) models. In this paper we provide feasible inference tools for extremal conditional quantile models that rely upon extreme value approximations to the distribution of self-normalized quantile regression statistics. The methods are simple to implement and can be of independent interest even in the non-regression case. We illustrate the results with two empirical examples analyzing extreme fluctuations of a stock return and extremely low percentiles of live infants' birthweights in the range between 250 and 1500 grams.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/0912.5013
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