摘要翻译:
该研究为伊朗经济发展计划中最重要的部门之一农业部门的生产率增长评价提供了理论框架和实证模型。我们使用索洛残差模型来衡量生产率增长在农业部门增值增长中所占的份额。我们的时间序列数据包括该部门的人均增加值、就业和资本。结果表明,1991-2010年农业部门全要素生产率平均增长率为-0.72%。此外,在此期间,全要素生产率增长在增加值增长中的份额为-19.6%,而第四个发展规划预测为33.8%。考虑到资本在农业低生产率中的有效作用,我们建议应用生产率管理计划(特别是资本生产率)来实现未来的增长目标。
---
英文标题:
《The Role of Agricultural Sector Productivity in Economic Growth: The
Case of Iran's Economic Development Plan》
---
作者:
Morteza Tahamipour, Mina Mahmoudi
---
最新提交年份:
2018
---
分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述:Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论,微观计量经济学,宏观计量经济学,通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容,统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
--
---
英文摘要:
This study provides the theoretical framework and empirical model for productivity growth evaluations in agricultural sector as one of the most important sectors in Iran's economic development plan. We use the Solow residual model to measure the productivity growth share in the value-added growth of the agricultural sector. Our time series data includes value-added per worker, employment, and capital in this sector. The results show that the average total factor productivity growth rate in the agricultural sector is -0.72% during 1991-2010. Also, during this period, the share of total factor productivity growth in the value-added growth is -19.6%, while it has been forecasted to be 33.8% in the fourth development plan. Considering the effective role of capital in the agricultural low productivity, we suggest applying productivity management plans (especially in regards of capital productivity) to achieve future growth goals.
---
PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1806.04235