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摘要翻译：
继英国退出欧盟之后，几个成员国出现了关于退出欧盟公投的辩论。我们要强调一个国家的退出如何影响欧洲联盟理事会的权力分配。我们检查成员国的权力指数，包括有可能退出欧盟的国家和没有可能退出欧盟的国家。我们的结果显示了一种与作出决定所需会员国数目门槛变化有关的模式。修改这一门槛值的退出有利于人口众多的国家，而不引起这一变化的退出有利于小国。根据我们的计算，在克罗地亚进入之前，英国退出欧盟的威胁会有所不同。
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英文标题：
《Brexit: The Belated Threat》
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作者：
D\'ora Gr\'eta Petr\'oczy, Mark Francis Rogers, L\'aszl\'o \'A.
K\'oczy
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最新提交年份：
2018
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述：General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：Economics 经济学
分类描述：q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学，包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要：
Debates on an EU-leaving referendum arose in several member states after Brexit. We want to highlight how the exit of an additional country affects the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. We inspect the power indices of the member states both with and without the country which might leave the union. Our results show a pattern connected to a change in the threshold of the number of member states required for a decision. An exit that modifies this threshold benefits the countries with high population, while an exit that does not cause such a change benefits the small member states. According to our calculations, the threat of Brexit would have worked differently before the entry of Croatia.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1808.05142
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