我的数据是非平衡面板数据(11年的数据,每一年样本不一样),用Fama-MacBeth (1973)方法(先对每年的截面回归再对得到的时间序列均值——好像是这样吧)回归,但是stata出来的结果有控制变量为“dropped”。我在论坛查了资料,说可能是多重共线性。那怎么处理呢?求助高人啊。。
以下是复制过来结果哈(ind1-ind5是虚拟变量):
照着论坛一位大侠教的方法,我做Fama-MacBeth (1973)方法的回归哈:
. xtfmb orderim age age2 cpi rm market ind1 ind2 ind3 ind4 ind5, verbose lag(1
> )
Fama-MacBeth (1973) Two-Step procedure Number of obs = 9855
Num. time periods = 11
F( 10, 10) = 3.81
Prob > F = 0.0230
Newey-West corrected SE (lag length: 1) avg. R-squared = 0.2313
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Fama-MacBeth
orderim | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
age | -.0000165 5.16e-06 -3.20 0.010 -.000028 -5.00e-06
age2 | 8.57e-07 3.46e-07 2.48 0.033 8.58e-08 1.63e-06
cpi | (dropped)
rm | (dropped)
market | 2.68e-07 .0000154 0.02 0.986 -.0000342 .0000347
ind1 | -.000074 .0000387 -1.91 0.085 -.0001603 .0000123
ind2 | -2.53e-06 .0000114 -0.22 0.829 -.0000279 .0000229
ind3 | .0000217 .0000127 1.71 0.118 -6.55e-06 .00005
ind4 | .0000139 .0000121 1.15 0.277 -.000013 .0000408
ind5 | .000026 .0000104 2.49 0.032 2.75e-06 .0000492
_cons | .000334 .0000896 3.73 0.004 .0001343 .0005336
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
然后是辅助回归:
比如对rm:
Fama-MacBeth (1973) Two-Step procedure Number of obs = 9855
Num. time periods = 11
F( 8, 10) = 0.76
Prob > F = 0.6428
Newey-West corrected SE (lag length: 1) avg. R-squared = 1.0000
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
| Fama-MacBeth
rm | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
age | 8.60e-19 4.79e-19 1.79 0.103 -2.08e-19 1.93e-18
age2 | -5.43e-20 2.84e-20 -1.91 0.085 -1.18e-19 8.94e-21
market | -.0001838 .0002105 -0.87 0.403 -.0006528 .0002853
ind1 | 7.70e-19 8.20e-19 0.94 0.369 -1.06e-18 2.60e-18
ind2 | -6.67e-19 8.90e-19 -0.75 0.471 -2.65e-18 1.32e-18
ind3 | 7.81e-19 1.08e-18 0.73 0.485 -1.62e-18 3.18e-18
ind4 | 2.97e-19 4.93e-19 0.60 0.561 -8.02e-19 1.40e-18
ind5 | 2.94e-19 6.76e-19 0.43 0.673 -1.21e-18 1.80e-18
_cons | .0006004 .0005698 1.05 0.317 -.0006692 .00187
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
可是t检验不显著啊,这样的结果就可以说明是多重共线性吗?那怎么处理呢,这两个控制变量又不能去掉,是只能找别的类似的替代么?如果是,又需要找什么样的呢?
谢谢帮助啊!!


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