问一下这个可以完成时间序列分析吗?
年 份 | 能源生产总量 (万吨标准煤) | 年 份 | 能源生产总量 (万吨标准煤) | 年 份 | 能源生产总量 (万吨标准煤) |
1990 | 103922 | 1997 | 133460 | 2004 | 196648 |
1991 | 104844 | 1998 | 129834 | 2005 | 216219 |
1992 | 107256 | 1999 | 131935 | 2006 | 232167 |
1993 | 111059 | 2000 | 135048 | 2007 | 247279 |
1994 | 118729 | 2001 | 143875 | 2008 | 260552 |
1995 | 129034 | 2002 | 150656 | 2009 | 274619 |
1996 | 133032 | 2003 | 171906 | 2010 | 296916 |
ADF Test Statistic | -3.432641 | 1% Critical Value* | -3.9635 | |
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| 5% Critical Value | -3.0818 | |
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| 10% Critical Value | -2.6829 | |
| *MacKinnon critical values for rejection of hypothesis of a unit root. | ||||
| Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation | ||||
| Dependent Variable: D(Y3) | ||||
| Method: Least Squares | ||||
| Date: 09/29/12 Time: 12:10 | ||||
| Sample(adjusted): 1996 2010 | ||||
| Included observations: 15 after adjusting endpoints | ||||
| Variable | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
| Y3(-1) | -1.672564 | 0.487253 | -3.432641 | 0.0050 |
| D(Y3(-1)) | 0.145215 | 0.285420 | 0.508776 | 0.6201 |
| C | 340.9405 | 1824.655 | 0.186852 | 0.8549 |
| R-squared | 0.735867 | Mean dependent var | -10.46667 | |
| Adjusted R-squared | 0.691845 | S.D. dependent var | 12714.66 | |
| S.E. of regression | 7058.126 | Akaike info criterion | 20.73860 | |
| Sum squared resid | 5.98E+08 | Schwarz criterion | 20.88021 | |
| Log likelihood | -152.5395 | F-statistic | 16.71583 | |
Durbin-Watson stat | 2.107347 | Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000340 | |
这个是三阶的,不知道完事没有。
求贵人帮助啊 |


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