Is the trade deficit bad?

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<P><FONT color=#1a1ae6 size=4>Is the trade deficit bad?</FONT></P>
<P><FONT color=#1a1ae6 size=4>贸易赤字是好是坏?</FONT></P>

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-5-24 21:42:00编辑过]

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关键词：Deficit Trade BAD CIT The 贸易赤字 trade

为什么没人理偶?~~~~

Let me try to give you a brief explanation.

In my opinion, trade deficit is not that bad. It is quite neutral. It is not as most people might originally think that the country is losing money.

You can analysize in this way:

You buy imports with currency issued by your own government. Where can the currency finally be? The currency can flow back as a foreign investment, or be used to buy exports from your country, or just be kept by someone else for future use. Each way is not that bad to your country.

If you learned some macroeconomics, I'd like to give you some formulas to remind you the relation above:

In the balance sheet of an open economy:

current account = - financial account

current account = net exports (about to be equal)

financial account = - net foreign investment (Notice here: NFI is defined as the difference between the cash flows out of your country and the cash flows in)

That is to say that:

net export = net foreign investment!

This is just a brief model and some of my analysis.

能解释下么?虽然有看英文版....但是....- -///

假设完全理性，那么按照比较优势就没什么坏处，只不过时跨期优化的某种结果而已，但是在有限理性下，会出现局部最优不等于全局最优的情况，问题时由于分析人也是有限理性，能不能改变是值得怀疑

楼上的..- -讲了什么?~.....

He means that if all the coutries are rational, they will recognize the benefits resulted from the comparative advantages. Then they are willing to specialize in their specific comparative advantages. It will help both to live better.

If those countires are not all rational, there might be cases that the partially best solution is not a perfact one for the whole. (to qweqww: Could you give us some examples?)

For the last sentence, I'm not quite clear for its meaning.I hope he can explain it more clearly.

以美国为例

跟中国的巨额贸易逆差，说明本国制造业受到打击，但另一方面却降低了通胀率。

所以没有绝对好，没有绝对不好，2 sides

There is one thing I want to mention. The US is a very particular case in the international financial market. Due to the preponderance of US dollar as a major media for exchange, all the countries is sharing the risk for the appreciation or deflation of the US dollar.

As a result, it helps to reduce the risk of the US to have inflation.

我只是举个例子来说明贸易赤字并不一定都是坏事，这个不也是lz想知道的吗