楼主: zhb221x
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[失业与通货膨胀] 为什么提高利率会造成失业率上升? [推广有奖]

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楼主
zhb221x 发表于 2005-4-28 23:51:00 |AI写论文

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当初,里根政府为了对付通货膨胀,提高利率,西方其他国家也被迫提高利率,造成失业率上升。。。。为什么提高了利率会造成失业率上升?
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关键词:高利率 失业率 通货膨胀 利率 失业率

沙发
johnjiang 发表于 2005-4-29 00:23:00
this is the crowding out effect. when interest rate increases, the firms that borrow money from the banks are generally need to pay more for their borrowing. the firms would like to cut the costs to finance the increasing interest and principal repayment. therefore, probably the firms would like to decrease the number of labours, leads to increase unemplyment rate.

藤椅
johnjiang 发表于 2005-4-29 00:27:00
increase interest rate is one kind of deflationary fiscal policy, which can deal with inflation. the government pushed up the interest rate, and tried to reduce inflation, however, they did not take all the effects into account, therefore, that's why unemplyment rate increased

板凳
lanh_113 发表于 2005-4-29 00:52:00

如果说是为了对付通货膨胀而提高利率,那么政府的目的就是在于紧缩货币供给量以抵消较高的通货膨胀。这是根据数量方程式得出的必然结论。(MV=PY)

在短期中,菲利普斯曲线说明了通货膨胀与失业存在负相关关系,如果政府的目的在于降低通货膨胀,那么它的任何政策必然引起失业的增加。(除了降低通货膨胀预期的办法,据说这是最好的办法。)

所以本文的推理应该是里根政府提高利率,以紧缩货币供给量,从而期望降低通货膨胀,引起失业率上升。

但是并不是说所有的提高利率都会造成失业率上升。

sometimes winning is not fun at al

报纸
johnjiang 发表于 2005-4-29 15:18:00

monetary policy consist of two parts, one if interest rate, the other one is money supply. they are intrarelative, increase interest rate, citizens consider that banking would be a good investment, therefore, banking in bank will increase, leads to decrease money supply in the market.

in here, "里根政府提高利率,以紧缩货币供给量,从而期望降低通货膨胀,引起失业率上升" probably, you miss one step

地板
sunwukong 发表于 2005-4-29 17:17:00
提高利率,那么投资减少,就业机会必然会减少的.

7
lanh_113 发表于 2005-5-1 17:33:00
同意5楼的观点,我是忽略了IS方面的内容
sometimes winning is not fun at al

8
toby0303 发表于 2005-6-23 01:01:00
monetary policy consist of two parts, one if interest rate, the other one is money supply. they are intrarelative, increase interest rate, citizens consider that banking would be a good investment, therefore, banking in bank will increase, leads to decrease money supply in the market.(同意此观点)

9
springwolf 发表于 2005-6-24 02:02:00
提高或降低利率是完成一特定目标的手段,目标不同引起的结果也不同.

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