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Contents
A good kind of madness 2
A necessary evil ............................................................................................................................ 2
Water finds its own level ........................................................................................................... 3
When push comes to shove..................................................................................................... 3
Barclays’ key macroeconomic projections .......................................................................... 4
TAA: fixed income likely faces the biggest headwinds 5
Interest rates, bond yields, and commodity and equity prices in context 6
Going cold turkey: China’s liquidity crunch 8
Here comes the squeeze ........................................................................................................... 8
Not just post-holiday blues....................................................................................................... 9
Lurking in the shadows .............................................................................................................. 9
Two hands to clap .................................................................................................................... 10
Awaiting the reforms ............................................................................................................... 10
Of dilemma and trauma ......................................................................................................... 11
Changing the itinerary: EM commodity currencies 12
ZAR: From global beta to domestic alpha ........................................................................ 12
BRL: The carnival is over ......................................................................................................... 13
RUB: Not amazing, but better than others ....................................................................... 15
It is not only about which currency to buy... ................................................................... 15
What is risk (II)? 16
Reflecting risks that matter ................................................................................................... 17
Accounting for fat tails ............................................................................................................ 17
Global Investment Strategy Team
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