具体结果如下:
. xtptm lngdp g s u e f,rx(t) thrvar(lngdp) iters(1000) regime(3)
================ Fundamental information: ===================
Number of Regime independent variables: 5
Number of Regime dependent variables: 1
Number of individuals in panel: 257
Number of periods in panel: 12
============ Triple threshold regession: stage = 1
Minimized Sum of Squared Residuals: 213.0979
Standard error of residuals: 0.2750
Threshold estimate: 9.3768
95% conf. int. of threshold: 9.3759 9.3953
Three Thresholds: 9.3768 8.7434 9.8584
Threshold regression(Ordinary Std. Err.):
----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std t prob
----+-----------------------------------------------
****
----------------------------------------------------
Threshold regression(Robust Std. Err.):
-----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std_Robust t prob
----+------------------------------------------------
****
-----------------------------------------------------
============ Triple threshold regession: stage = 2
Minimized Sum of Squared Residuals: 206.5939
Standard error of residuals: 0.2708
Threshold estimate: 10.1816
95% conf. int. of threshold: 10.1805 10.1841
Three Thresholds: 10.1816 9.3768 8.7434
Threshold regression(Ordinary Std. Err.):
----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std t prob
----+-----------------------------------------------
****
----------------------------------------------------
Threshold regression(Robust Std. Err.):
-----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std_Robust t prob
----+------------------------------------------------
****
-----------------------------------------------------
============ Triple threshold regession: stage = 3
Minimized Sum of Squared Residuals: 205.9329
Standard error of residuals: 0.2703
Threshold estimate: 8.6134
95% conf. int. of threshold: 8.6067 8.6152
Three Thresholds: 8.6134 10.1816 9.3768
Threshold regression(Ordinary Std. Err.):
----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std t prob
----+-----------------------------------------------
1 | 2.5947 0.1215 21.3543 0.0000
2 | -0.4587 0.1038 -4.4193 0.0000
3 | 1.5073 0.1019 14.7871 0.0000
4 | -6.1648 0.5753 -10.7152 0.0000
5 | -0.9076 0.2573 -3.5277 0.0004
6 | -0.3048 0.0142 -21.5063 0.0000
7 | -0.0714 0.0100 -7.1588 0.0000
8 | 0.0981 0.0093 10.5691 0.0000
9 | 0.2781 0.0108 25.7941 0.0000
----------------------------------------------------
Threshold regression(Robust Std. Err.):
-----------------------------------------------------
| Coef Std_Robust t prob
----+------------------------------------------------
1 | 2.5947 0.8631 3.0064 0.0027
2 | -0.4587 0.1675 -2.7380 0.0062
3 | 1.5073 0.1531 9.8478 0.0000
4 | -6.1648 0.7636 -8.0730 0.0000
5 | -0.9076 0.2561 -3.5438 0.0004
6 | -0.3048 0.0332 -9.1840 0.0000
7 | -0.0714 0.0235 -3.0364 0.0024
8 | 0.0981 0.0305 3.2166 0.0013
9 | 0.2781 0.0330 8.4217 0.0000
-----------------------------------------------------
Thresholds in triple model:
1
+---------------+
1 | 9.376786232 |
2 | 10.18164921 |
3 | 8.613411903 |
+---------------+
Ho: Double threshold; Ha: Triple threshold
Number of bootstrap:1000
F-stat & Prob: 523.5828 0.0000
F-critical value of 90% 95% 99%:
1
+----------------+
1 | -703.1379895 |
2 | -677.8133244 |
3 | -647.8346884 |
+----------------+


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