Hypothesized | | Trace | 5 Percent | 1 Percent |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Critical Value |
| | | | |
| | | | |
None * | 0.023583 | 16.36175 | 15.41 | 20.04 |
At most 1 * | 0.008754 | 4.404927 | 3.76 | 6.65 |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Trace test indicates 2 cointegrating equation(s) at the 5% level | ||||
Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 1% level | | |||
*(**) denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 5%(1%) level | ||||
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Hypothesized | | Max-Eigen | 5 Percent | 1 Percent |
No. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Statistic | Critical Value | Critical Value |
| | | | |
| | | | |
None | 0.023583 | 11.95682 | 14.07 | 18.63 |
At most 1 * | 0.008754 | 4.404927 | 3.76 | 6.65 |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at both 5% and 1% levels | ||||
*(**) denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 5%(1%) level | ||||
| | | | |
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I): | ||||
| | | | |
| | | | |
RMBPUSD | STOCKB | | | |
0.167170 | 0.028192 | | | |
-0.055285 | -0.020450 | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha): | | |||
| | | | |
| | | | |
D(RMBPUSD) | 0.041099 | 0.046015 | | |
D(STOCKB) | -0.728759 | 0.203484 | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): | Log likelihood | -1951.965 | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses) | ||||
RMBPUSD | STOCKB | | | |
1.000000 | 0.168640 | | | |
| (0.01835) | | | |
| | | | |
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses) | | |||
D(RMBPUSD) | 0.006870 | | | |
| (0.00421) | | | |
D(STOCKB) | -0.121826 | | | |
| (0.03900) | | | |
| | | | |
| | | | |
这个结果说明有几个协整关系?那么协整方程如何得出呢?


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