Date: 06/24/15 Time: 23:05
Sample (adjusted): 1994 2014
Included observations: 21 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend
Series: DY_AUS DY_BRU
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None 0.485217 14.13074 15.49471 0.0794
At most 1 0.008843 0.186531 3.841466 0.6658
Trace test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None 0.485217 13.94421 14.26460 0.0561
At most 1 0.008843 0.186531 3.841466 0.6658
Max-eigenvalue test indicates no cointegration at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
DY_AUS DY_BRU
-0.035390 -0.007996
-0.014278 -0.018277
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(DY_AUS) 22.08311 0.974598
D(DY_BRU) -5.832072 1.275241
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood -183.8195
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
DY_AUS DY_BRU
1.000000 0.225951
(0.09853)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(DY_AUS) -0.781518
(0.21455)
D(DY_BRU) 0.206396
(0.12731)