- . var dlfd lgdp rr,lags(1/2)
- Vector autoregression
- Sample: 1983 - 2015 Number of obs = 33
- Log likelihood = -5.030991 AIC = 1.577636
- FPE = .0009914 HQIC = 1.898064
- Det(Sigma_ml) = .0002723 SBIC = 2.529959
- Equation Parms RMSE R-sq chi2 P>chi2
- ----------------------------------------------------------------
- dlfd 7 .053308 0.1456 5.625273 0.4664
- lgdp 7 .204662 0.6363 57.72914 0.0000
- rr 7 2.60899 0.5452 39.55223 0.0000
- ----------------------------------------------------------------
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
- -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
- dlfd |
- dlfd |
- L1. | .070556 .197897 0.36 0.721 -.3173149 .4584269
- L2. | -.0652174 .2305033 -0.28 0.777 -.5169956 .3865607
- |
- lgdp |
- L1. | -.0676031 .0384756 -1.76 0.079 -.143014 .0078077
- L2. | .0343734 .0403239 0.85 0.394 -.0446601 .1134068
- |
- rr |
- L1. | -.0004767 .0038089 -0.13 0.900 -.007942 .0069886
- L2. | -.0000846 .0034671 -0.02 0.981 -.00688 .0067109
- |
- _cons | .1244229 .093093 1.34 0.181 -.058036 .3068819
- -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
- lgdp |
- dlfd |
- L1. | 2.539157 .7597776 3.34 0.001 1.050021 4.028294
- L2. | -1.128323 .8849618 -1.27 0.202 -2.862816 .6061703
- |
- lgdp |
- L1. | .9773258 .1477179 6.62 0.000 .687804 1.266848
- L2. | -.5757941 .154814 -3.72 0.000 -.879224 -.2723642
- |
- rr |
- L1. | -.0092896 .0146234 -0.64 0.525 -.037951 .0193717
- L2. | -.0046263 .0133111 -0.35 0.728 -.0307156 .0214631
- |
- _cons | 1.304467 .3574081 3.65 0.000 .6039596 2.004974
- -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
- rr |
- dlfd |
- L1. | -32.53165 9.685506 -3.36 0.001 -51.5149 -13.54841
- L2. | 6.355444 11.28133 0.56 0.573 -15.75556 28.46645
- |
- lgdp |
- L1. | -5.336682 1.883081 -2.83 0.005 -9.027453 -1.645912
- L2. | 2.859499 1.973541 1.45 0.147 -1.008569 6.727568
- |
- rr |
- L1. | .718156 .1864168 3.85 0.000 .3527858 1.083526
- L2. | -.2084015 .1696879 -1.23 0.219 -.5409836 .1241806
- |
- _cons | 7.759407 4.556173 1.70 0.089 -1.170529 16.68934
- ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- . varstable
- Eigenvalue stability condition
- +----------------------------------------+
- | Eigenvalue | Modulus |
- |--------------------------+-------------|
- | .3424665 + .4517427i | .566882 |
- | .3424665 - .4517427i | .566882 |
- | .3809467 + .331427i | .50494 |
- | .3809467 - .331427i | .50494 |
- | .1596057 + .4381789i | .466342 |
- | .1596057 - .4381789i | .466342 |
- +----------------------------------------+
- All the eigenvalues lie inside the unit circle.
- VAR satisfies stability condition.
- . vargranger
- Granger causality Wald tests
- +------------------------------------------------------------------+
- | Equation Excluded | chi2 df Prob > chi2 |
- |--------------------------------------+---------------------------|
- | dlfd lgdp | 3.0923 2 0.213 |
- | dlfd rr | .02813 2 0.986 |
- | dlfd ALL | 3.1472 4 0.534 |
- |--------------------------------------+---------------------------|
- | lgdp dlfd | 11.242 2 0.004 |
- | lgdp rr | 1.1002 2 0.577 |
- | lgdp ALL | 15.049 4 0.005 |
- |--------------------------------------+---------------------------|
- | rr dlfd | 11.514 2 0.003 |
- | rr lgdp | 8.0325 2 0.018 |
- | rr ALL | 20.062 4 0.000 |
- +------------------------------------------------------------------+
- .


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