While full year 2016 saw a wide dispersion across our universe vs the NASDAQ 9.8% gain(Tencent +27%,WUBA -55%),all of our names(ATHM excepted +0.7%)declined in 4Q(NASDAQ +2%).Polling of our clientele revealed the top culprits to be a weakening RMB,internet regulations,rising interest rates and growing Sino-US tensions.None of these factors are within the control of our coverage names.Fundamentals moreover remain sound:late-2016 downgrades of BIDU,SFUN and WUBA adequately capture the minority of eroding forecasts.We begin 2017 in an overweight position,with a focus on large caps.Top picks are BABA,CTRP and ATHM.
20170109-DEUTSCHE_BANK-CHINA_INTERNET_OUTLOOK_2017:FORCES_BEYOND,AND_WITHIN,O.pdf
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