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美国兰德公司对于卡特里娜飓风过后新奥尔良的改革报告！
PREFACE
What the future size and composition of the population of New Orleans will be in the aftermath of
Hurricane Katrina is a topic of intense interest and discussion among current and displaced residents of the
city; among policymakers in the City of New Orleans, the State of Louisiana, and the federal government;
and within the general public. This report presents population estimates for New Orleans three months, six
months, one year, and three years after Hurricane Katrina.
This report was prepared after consultation with New Orleans leaders in the aftermath of Hurricane
Katrina and was done specifically to support the efforts of the Bring New Orleans Back Commission.
Projections of the future population of New Orleans are essential to the work of the Commission’s
subcommittees for planning, infrastructure, and sustainability.
The work for this report was carried out between late November 2005 and early January 2006 and
reflects the situation in New Orleans through that time. Changes and further developments in the situation
since then are not reflected in this report.
The study was conducted through the RAND Labor and Population Program, which examines issues
involving U.S. labor markets, the demographics of families and children, social welfare policy, the social
and economic functioning of the elderly, and economic and social change in developing countries. This
report is being released jointly by the Labor and Population Program and the RAND Gulf States Policy
Institute. The research results from the RAND Corporation’s continuing program of self-initiated research.
Support for such research is provided, in part, by donors and by the independent research and
development provisions of RAND’s contracts for the operation of its U.S. Department of Defense federally
funded research and development centers.
Questions or comments about this report should be directed to the project leader:
Narayan Sastry
RAND Corporation
1776 Main Street
P.O. Box 2138
Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138
310-393-0411 x6325
Narayan_Sastry@rand.org
THE RAND GULF STATES POLICY INSTITUTE (RGSPI)
The RAND Gulf States Policy Institute (RGSPI) is a collaboration among RAND and seven gulf
universities (Jackson State University, Tulane University, Tuskegee University, University of New Orleans,
University of South Alabama, University of Southern Mississippi, and Xavier University) to develop a long-
iv -
term vision and strategy to help build a better future for Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama in the wake of
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The Institute’s mission is to benefit the Gulf States region by providing officials
in government, nonprofits, and the private sector with the highest quality of analysis to help them not just to
rebuild what the hurricanes destroyed, but to build a better and more prosperous future.
RGSPI is housed at the RAND Corporation, an international nonprofit research organization with a
reputation for rigorous and objective analysis and effective solutions.
For additional information about the RAND Gulf States Policy Institute, contact its director:
George Penick
RAND Gulf States Policy Institute
P.O. Box 3788
Jackson, MS 39207
601-797-2499
George_Penick@rand.org
A profile of the RGSPI can be found at http://www.rand.org/about/katrina.html.
More information about RAND is available on our Web site (http://www.rand.org).
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