国外券商报告-浙江绿城-10年最新报告

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【Name】  SAMSUNG Securities
2010年6月
pdf
【page】28
SAMSUNG vs THE STREET
Increasing risks
Target price vs Consensus
-14%
1yr fwd EPS vs Consensus
-9.5%
Recommendation distribution
20% Buy
33% Hold
47% Sell
 Greentown’s business model is different from most other developers, making it more vulnerable to policy risks and the risk of a volume/price correction in the physical market
 Our NAV estimate is below market consensus as we accounted for off balance sheet debt in our calculation. We reached the debt numbers by estimating associate level construction loans.
 Our estimated contracted sales in 2010 are 24% lower than company guidance.

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