Citi-101216-2011 US Rates Outlook-Stimulating the Economy.

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Citi-101216-2011 US Rates Outlook-Stimulating the Economy.pdf (715.3 KB, 需要: 3 个论坛币)

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Outlook Summary for 2011 3
Rates and Curve Overview 4
Forecast of Total Fixed-Income Supply 9
Forecast of Total Fixed-Income Demand 14
Inflation: A Year of Normalization 20
Swap Spreads: Spread Curve Likely to Further Invert 25
Volatility: Steepening in Expiries 28
Agency MBS: From Public to Private Hands 31
Agency Debt: Issuance Continues to Dwindle 33
Balance Sheet Unlimited, Or: Why We Stopped Worrying
About Deflation 39
Systemic Risk from Euro Peripherals 44
Financial Reform: Inverted Spread Curve, Higher Vols 46
Swap Spreads: Structural Changes 51
Model Portfolio: Year in Review 54
Appendix A-1 56

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关键词：STIMULATING Economy Outlook econom outloo 2011