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雷达卡
1.这是台湾的，也不算海外啦。
美國各州創新能力決定因素－Panel 空間計量分析
摘要:
創新活動是經濟活動的主要動力之一，影響創新活動的因素很多，陳建文
(2006)以研究發展費用、外商直接投資、科學家工程師人數、市場開放程度、以
及交通便利等因素來探討大陸高新技術區創新活動，而本研究則是從美國各州個
人所得總額、產出、就業狀況、外貿的開放程度等經濟因素，來探討經濟活動對
美國各州創新活動的影響。
本文亦採Moran(1950)提出的空間相關指數Moran’s I，用全區域型估計來估
計個人所得總額、產出、就業狀況、外貿的開放程度等經濟因素的單一變數空間
自我相關，另用橫斷面分析經由整合效果模型、固定效果模型、隨機效果模型實
證研究後發現固定效果模型為最佳配適，且出口值會影響到美國各州的創新能
力。在使用Panel Data 空間計量方法從個人所得總額、產出、就業狀況、外貿的
開放程度等經濟因素及誤差項加入空間因子後經由空間落遲模型與空間誤差模
型來研究是否對美國各州的創新能力產生影響並研究各項經濟因素間空間相關
性及是否有外溢效果。
在經變數分兩部份實證後發現個人所得總額、產出、就業狀況、外貿的開放
程度等經濟因素具外溢效果但無群聚現象，且發現美國各州的創新能力會受到外
貿開放程度、及產出、失業率、人均產出、景氣好壞影響；卻不受個人所得總額
影響。
2.这是瑞典的项目论文。论文很大，有44页。涉及的变量也比较多，比较细。
Using Spatial Econometrics to Analyze Local Growth in Sweden – Revised and Extended
Johan Lundberg
Centre for Regional Science,Umeå University
This paper investigates factors that determine the average income growth and net migration rates in Swedish municipalities during the period 1981 to 1999.
The main issue is to test the hypothesis that, conditionalon a set of other possible determinants of regional growth, the growth rate in one municipality is acted by the growth rates in its neighboring municipalities. We also test the hypothesis of conditional convergence, that is, the hypothesis that initially ’poorer’ regions tend to grow faster than initially ’richer’
regions conditional on the other explanatory variables in the model. We …nd a positive correlation between
net migration rates in neighboring municipalities, which suggests that net migration tend to ’spill over’ to
neighboring municipalities. When it comes to average income growth, our results indicate spatial dependence
in the error terms during the 1980’s. Such dependence is important in the sense that it indicates that shocks
into the system not only a¤ect the municipality where the shock has its origin but spread across the country.
In addition, and in contrast to previous empirical …ndings based on Swedish data, we do not …nd any clear
evidence in favour of the hypothesis of conditional convergence. Instead, our results predict conditional divergence
between municipalities located in the Stockholm region throughout the period and also for municipalities
outside the Stockholm region during the 1990’s.
Key words : Spatial econometrics, conditional conve rgence , regional growth, netmiratio n.
3. SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION AND AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL IN ECOLOGY
JEREMY W. LICHSTEIN,1,3 THEODORE R. SIMONS,1,4 SUSAN A. SHRINER,1 AND KATHLEEN E. FRANZREB2
1Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Department of Zoology, North Carolina State University,
Raleigh, North Carolina 27695-7617 USA
2Southern Appalachian Cooperative Ecosystems Studies Unit, Department of Forestry, Wildlife, and Fisheries,
University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee 37901 USA
这篇算是spatial Analysis的。不算是计量里面的。不过在分析空间数据方面是很权威的一片文章。
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