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摘要翻译：
本文旨在探讨双人口结构对经常账户和增长的影响。使用SVAR建模，我们跟踪这些基础变量之间的动态影响。人们对人口增长、经常账户和经济增长之间的动态相互关系有了新的认识。由于熟练移民工人的主要贡献，国内劳动人口增长和移民劳动力需求对经济增长的长期净影响是正面的。此外，移民工人对经常账户增长的长期正贡献在很大程度上弥补了本地人口的负贡献，因为与非熟练工人相比，熟练工人占主导地位。我们发现，对移民工人的劳动力需求的正冲击导致了对本地劳动年龄比率的增加影响。因此，移民似乎更多地是本地工人的补充而不是替代。
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英文标题：
《Bi-Demographic Changes and Current Account using SVAR Modeling》
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作者：
Hassan B. Ghassan, Hassan R. Al-Hajhoj, Faruk Balli
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最新提交年份：
2019
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分类信息：
一级分类：Economics 经济学
二级分类：Econometrics 计量经济学
分类描述：Econometric Theory, Micro-Econometrics, Macro-Econometrics, Empirical Content of Economic Relations discovered via New Methods, Methodological Aspects of the Application of Statistical Inference to Economic Data.
计量经济学理论，微观计量经济学，宏观计量经济学，通过新方法发现的经济关系的实证内容，统计推论应用于经济数据的方法论方面。
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一级分类：Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类：General Finance 一般财务
分类描述：Development of general quantitative methodologies with applications in finance
通用定量方法的发展及其在金融中的应用
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英文摘要：
The paper aims to explore the impacts of bi-demographic structure on the current account and growth. Using a SVAR modeling, we track the dynamic impacts between these underlying variables. New insights have been developed about the dynamic interrelation between population growth, current account and economic growth. The long-run net impact on economic growth of the domestic working population growth and demand labor for emigrants is positive, due to the predominant contribution of skilled emigrant workers. Besides, the positive long-run contribution of emigrant workers to the current account growth largely compensates the negative contribution from the native population, because of the predominance of skilled compared to unskilled workforce. We find that a positive shock in demand labor for emigrant workers leads to an increasing effect on native active age ratio. Thus, the emigrants appear to be more complements than substitutes for native workers.
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PDF链接：
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1803.11161
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