摘要翻译:
考虑到病毒潜伏期过长造成的延迟,提出了病毒在选定城市和城市网络中传播的模型。与没有这种延迟的流行病相比,显示了延迟效应的影响。已经确定了感染传播的暂时不对称性,这意味着流行病发展的时间大大超过其完成的时间。对大、小城市网络中的病毒传播进行了模型计算,通过与单个城市病毒传播的比较,揭示了病毒传播的动力学特征,包括特大城市再感染的可能性。
---
英文标题:
《The pandemic of viruses with a long incubation phase in the small world》
---
作者:
P.A. Golovinski
---
最新提交年份:
2020
---
分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Biology 数量生物学
二级分类:Other Quantitative Biology 其他定量生物学
分类描述:Work in quantitative biology that does not fit into the other q-bio classifications
不适合其他q-bio分类的定量生物学工作
--
---
英文摘要:
A model of the spread of viruses in selected city and in a network of cities is considered, taking into account the delay caused by the long incubation period of the virus. The effect of delay effects is shown in comparison with pandemics without such delay. A temporary asymmetry of the spread of infection has been identified, which means that the time for a pandemic to develop significantly exceeds the time for its completion. Model calculations of the spread of viruses in a network of interconnected large and small cities were carried out, and dynamics features were revealed in comparison with the spread of viruses in a single city, including the possibility of reinfection of megalopolis.
---
PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2004.04567