摘要翻译:
本文回顾了酒精税对酗酒和死亡率等后果的影响的研究。在数据允许的情况下,对经过审查的研究进行复制和重新分析。尽管大多数研究存在弱点,尽管更可信的研究--基于自然实验的研究--似乎存在分歧,但我们可以有理由相信,对酒精征税总体上减少了饮酒,特别是减少了饮酒问题。潜在的自然实验越大、越干净,一项研究就越容易检测对饮酒的影响。来自最高权威研究机构的估计,如2002年在阿拉斯加和2004年在芬兰,表明死亡率对价格的弹性为-1至-3。根据这一估计,美国10%的价格上涨每年将挽救2000-6000人的生命和48000-13万年的生命。
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英文标题:
《The impacts of alcohol taxes: A replication review》
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作者:
David Roodman
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最新提交年份:
2020
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述:General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Economics 经济学
分类描述:q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学,包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要:
This paper reviews the research on the impacts of alcohol taxation outcomes such as heavy drinking and mortality. Where data availability permits, reviewed studies are replicated and reanalyzed. Despite weaknesses in the majority of studies, and despite seeming disagreements among the more credible one--ones based on natural experiments--we can be reasonably confident that taxing alcohol reduces drinking in general and problem drinking in particular. The larger and cleaner the underlying natural experiment, the more apt a study is to detect impacts on drinking. Estimates from the highest-powered study settings, such as in Alaska in 2002 and Finland in 2004, suggest an elasticity of mortality with respect to price of -1 to -3. A 10% price increase in the US would, according to this estimate, save 2,000-6,000 lives and 48,000-130,000 years of life each year.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2007.10270


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