《The Fellowship of LIBOR: A Study of Spurious Interbank Correlations by
the Method of Wigner-Ville Function》
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作者:
Peter B. Lerner
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最新提交年份:
2020
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英文摘要:
The manipulation of LIBOR by a group of banks became one of the major blows to the remaining confidence in financial industry. Yet, despite an enormous amount of popular literature on the subject, rigorous time-series studies are few. In my paper, I discuss the following hypothesis. Namely, if we should assume for a statistical null, the quotes, which were submitted by the member banks were true, the deviations from the LIBOR should have been entirely random because they were determined by idiosyncratic conditions by the member banks. This hypothesis can be statistically verified. Serial correlations of the rates, which cannot be explained by the differences in credit qualities of the member banks or the domicile Governments, were subjected to correlation tests. A new econometric method--the analysis of the Wigner-Ville function borrowed from quantum mechanics and signal processing--is used and explained for the statistical interpretation of regression residuals.
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中文摘要:
一群银行操纵伦敦银行同业拆借利率,成为对金融业剩余信心的重大打击之一。然而,尽管有大量关于这一主题的流行文献,但严格的时间序列研究却很少。在我的论文中,我讨论了以下假设。也就是说,如果我们假设统计数据为空,那么成员银行提交的报价是真实的,与伦敦银行同业拆借利率的偏差应该是完全随机的,因为它们是由成员银行的特殊条件决定的。这一假设可以在统计学上得到验证。对利率的系列相关性进行了相关性测试,这些相关性无法用成员银行或所在国政府的信贷质量差异来解释。一种新的计量经济学方法——借用量子力学和信号处理的Wigner-Ville函数分析——被用来解释回归残差的统计解释。
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分类信息:
一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Statistical Finance 统计金融
分类描述:Statistical, econometric and econophysics analyses with applications to financial markets and economic data
统计、计量经济学和经济物理学分析及其在金融市场和经济数据中的应用
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