我取wbc.in7
4 variables DYUSA,DYCAN,DYAUS,DYUK
作模型MSMH(2)-VAR(1) model of (DYUSA,DYCAN,DYAUS,DYUK)
Estimation sample: 1962 (2) - 1991 (4)
类似于你的模型,结果如下:
请先参考.
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---------- matrix of transition probabilities ------
Regime 1 Regime 2
Regime 1 0.9781 0.0219
Regime 2 0.0158 0.9842
---------- regime properties ----------------------
nObs Prob. Duration
Regime 1 49.8 0.4188 45.59
Regime 2 69.2 0.5812 63.28
---------- coefficients ----------------------------
DYUSA DYCAN DYAUS DYUK
Mean (Reg.1) 0.398600 0.757690 0.573640 0.338590
Mean (Reg.2) 0.801930 0.972998 1.087108 0.675019
DYUSA_1 0.218532 0.477362 0.191682 0.235182
DYCAN_1 0.169611 -0.017256 0.138161 0.048678
DYAUS_1 0.085066 0.260416 -0.040097 0.089260
DYUK_1 0.198562 0.161250 0.074353 -0.272759
SE (Reg.1) 1.148365 0.981202 1.148978 1.662892
SE (Reg.2) 0.556769 0.738672 1.094719 1.022857
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MsvarProb
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the impulse response functions(shock1,shock2,shock3,shock4)
shock1
shock2