Dependent Variable: M
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/09/12 Time: 10:07
Sample (adjusted): 1980 2001
Included observations: 22 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 5 iterations
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
C 169.3272794609973 44.39082727067706 3.814465507220872 0.001269790313987435
GDP 0.01979176482883655 0.001072599153834157 18.45215405782122 3.850940602530561e-13
AR(1) 1.108181198855294 0.181246691063496 6.114214788434761 8.92693240551137e-06
AR(2) -0.8011811320621961 0.2218916945517732 -3.610685535935007 0.001999107365199088
R-squared 0.98232496277025 Mean dependent var 890.059090909091
Adjusted R-squared 0.9793791232319584 S.D. dependent var 661.649885591992
S.E. of regression 95.01273182145807 Akaike info criterion 12.10886453817159
Sum squared resid 162493.5457471736 Schwarz criterion 12.30723589332765
Log likelihood -129.1975099198875 Hannan-Quinn criter. 12.15559486455769
F-statistic 333.4618026547085 Durbin-Watson stat 1.853363036357923
Prob(F-statistic) 5.885582872196886e-16
Inverted AR Roots .55+.70i .55-.70i
对进口量M和GDP进行线性回归,发现存在序列相关性,运用C-O迭代法,通过引入AR(1),AR(2)进行线性回归,消除序列相关性
数据输出的AR(1)=1.108,AR(2)=-0.801是什么意思?意思是我输出的方程是M=0.0198GDP+169.32+1.108-0.801吗?求输出的方程式怎么样的?