Null Hypothesis: D(LOGY,2) has a unit root
Exogenous: Constant
Lag Length: 3 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=10)
t-Statistic Prob.*
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -11.49482 0.0000
Test critical values: 1% level -3.557472
5% level -2.916566
10% level -2.596116
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(LOGY,3)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 01/02/13 Time: 22:52
Sample (adjusted): 1995Q3 2008Q4
Included observations: 54 after adjustments
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
D(LOGY(-1),2) -5.919791 0.514996 -11.49482 0.0000
D(LOGY(-1),3) 3.435886 0.389609 8.818808 0.0000
D(LOGY(-2),3) 1.968539 0.260692 7.551215 0.0000
D(LOGY(-3),3) 0.497582 0.130451 3.814327 0.0004
C -0.003221 0.008150 -0.395168 0.6944
R-squared 0.994325 Mean dependent var -0.003618
Adjusted R-squared 0.993862 S.D. dependent var 0.763567
S.E. of regression 0.059822 Akaike info criterion -2.706862
Sum squared resid 0.175355 Schwarz criterion -2.522697
Log likelihood 78.08527 F-statistic 2146.425
Durbin-Watson stat 2.052310 Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
怎么样才算平稳的,这是2nd dif的数据


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