楼主: venvun
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[转帖]华尔街日报对中国十年来最大幅度降息的报道 [推广有奖]

11
2007404104 发表于 2008-11-29 17:32:00
中国的货币政策缺乏稳定性。

12
atbo112 发表于 2008-11-29 19:00:00

转的Will Cheap Money Help?

It's uncertain how effective the cuts will be. Unlike those in other countries, Chinese consumers are not highly leveraged. Credit-card use is almost nonexistent, although debit cards are popular. Even most auto purchases are made in cash. Similarly, most home buyers put down more than the 20% required downpayment for mortgages, and outright defaults are rare. "The hope will be that this move will trigger more buying interest for homes, as well as support investment, both private as well as the coming wave of public projects," Standard Chartered Bank economist Stephen Green wrote in a note to clients. "But to be honest, rate policy in this environment is a marginal factor—businesses think about possible returns on investments, and households will look at house price prospects."

Whether cheaper money will induce banks to increase their loan books is an open question. Tens of thousands of Chinese manufacturers have gone out of business in recent months, leaving unpaid wages and supplier bills. Property developers are extremely cash-strapped in the face of a dramatic drop in housing turnover, and banks are cautious about extending new loans when they anticipate more defaults because of the economic slowdown.

China's economic outlook has deteriorated rapidly in recent weeks. In midsummer, only pessimists expected China's GDP growth to slow next year to 8%, a level necessary to ensure the absorption of new labor entrants into the workforce. Anything below this could—by Chinese economic standards—be considered a recession. Now economists are following one another with economic downgrades. On Oct. 31, UBS issued a growth forecast for next year of 7.5% (down from 8%). Economists believe about three percentage points of this growth will come from stimulus packages

13
alexzyo 发表于 2008-11-29 19:41:00
变革就会有阵痛,希望会挺过去

14
杨耀扬 发表于 2008-11-29 19:54:00
经济老火,就业难

15
青瓜 在职认证  发表于 2008-11-29 20:12:00
经济不稳定啊

16
holmes_wx 发表于 2008-11-29 20:49:00
降息主要是为了给政府债券的发行提供便利,降低成本。

17
wongjinghui 发表于 2008-11-29 20:55:00
楼主 你好牛  好高啊价格 

18
wongjinghui 发表于 2008-11-29 20:56:00
不过为了多学点东西 就唯有多支持您啦

19
石圆寂野 发表于 2008-11-29 20:59:00
我真的好想知道这个物价CPI是怎么算的,没感觉到周围有什么是在降价的

20
wongjinghui 发表于 2008-11-29 21:10:00
政府会在接二连三的处利好的!相信政府的智囊团在考虑问题方面定会想的十分周全!有多个应急的预备方案!!!

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