6 January 2009
European Pharmaceuticals
Outlook 2009
Michael Leuchten
Research Analyst
(44) 207 545 0470
michael.leuchten@db.com
Brian Bourdot
Research Analyst
(44) 20 754 75875
brian.bourdot@db.com
Holger Blum, DVFA
Research Analyst
(49) 69 910 31912
holger.blum@db.com
Relative earnings outlook and valuation warrants overweight rating
In our view the EU pharma sector continues to benefit from a challenging macro
environment at least early in 2009. A free cash-flow yield of 10% supports the
sector valuation and the need for further market consensus earnings downgrades
leaves the relative sector valuation unchallenged - OVERWEIGHT. Our preferred
pharma stocks for 2009 are Novo Nordisk (PT DKK345), Roche (PT CHF210), Bayer
(PT


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