请问,在做完协整检验之后如何进行协整向量的计算?
eviews里面是不是无法直接求出来?
那我应该怎么计算呢?以下是检验结果
谢谢
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized Trace 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.815662 92.61533 69.81889 0.0003
At most 1 * 0.729499 55.41368 47.85613 0.0083
At most 2 0.531379 26.64913 29.79707 0.1105
At most 3 0.359407 9.973998 15.49471 0.2827
At most 4 0.007971 0.176058 3.841466 0.6748
Trace test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized Max-Eigen 0.05
No. of CE(s) Eigenvalue Statistic Critical Value Prob.**
None * 0.815662 37.20164 33.87687 0.0193
At most 1 * 0.729499 28.76455 27.58434 0.0352
At most 2 0.531379 16.67513 21.13162 0.1879
At most 3 0.359407 9.797940 14.26460 0.2255
At most 4 0.007971 0.176058 3.841466 0.6748
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 2 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
LM1 LER LGDP LR LSV
-0.779499 -90.85641 -0.522439 -17.04330 -1.646842
-4.976522 -16.61613 -2.845017 -2.603635 1.162453
8.795958 17.25391 -1.697221 11.90733 -3.039299
15.30681 4.712674 -0.919361 -7.158287 0.083330
-6.811121 -20.37119 1.129178 4.460172 0.966702
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(LM1) 0.007674 0.021370 -0.002207 -0.020541 0.004457
D(LER) 0.005438 0.000466 -0.000162 -0.000327 -0.000195
D(LGDP) 0.109399 0.587116 0.094109 0.023774 0.011359
D(LR) -0.014629 0.009076 -0.029142 0.003031 0.000825
D(LSV) 0.039966 -0.193481 -0.045177 0.112386 0.028319
1 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 135.1325
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LM1 LER LGDP LR LSV
1.000000 116.5575 0.670224 21.86443 2.112693
(14.5783) (0.54755) (3.55599) (0.51652)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LM1) -0.005982
(0.01322)
D(LER) -0.004239
(0.00070)
D(LGDP) -0.085277
(0.14368)
D(LR) 0.011403
(0.00870)
D(LSV) -0.031153
(0.08802)
2 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 149.5148
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LM1 LER LGDP LR LSV
1.000000 0.000000 0.568782 -0.106187 -0.302781
(0.11167) (0.43936) (0.10076)
0.000000 1.000000 0.000870 0.188496 0.020723
(0.00482) (0.01897) (0.00435)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LM1) -0.112331 -1.052320
(0.08078) (1.48128)
D(LER) -0.006558 -0.501816
(0.00448) (0.08221)
D(LGDP) -3.007075 -19.69524
(0.52823) (9.68568)
D(LR) -0.033763 1.178311
(0.05500) (1.00843)
D(LSV) 0.931707 -0.416251
(0.51013) (9.35389)
3 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 157.8523
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LM1 LER LGDP LR LSV
1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.706010 -0.364918
(0.29859) (0.06892)
0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.189739 0.020628
(0.01893) (0.00437)
0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 -1.427957 0.109246
(0.73349) (0.16931)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LM1) -0.131746 -1.090403 -0.061061
(0.16246) (1.50596) (0.05375)
D(LER) -0.007985 -0.504616 -0.003891
(0.00901) (0.08354) (0.00298)
D(LGDP) -2.179293 -18.07149 -1.887235
(1.03400) (9.58506) (0.34212)
D(LR) -0.290092 0.675503 0.031281
(0.08019) (0.74336) (0.02653)
D(LSV) 0.534334 -1.195726 0.606251
(1.01969) (9.45236) (0.33738)
4 Cointegrating Equation(s): Log likelihood 162.7513
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
LM1 LER LGDP LR LSV
1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.166391
(0.03359)
0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.073982
(0.01078)
0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 0.000000 -0.292289
(0.11880)
0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 1.000000 -0.281196
(0.05283)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(LM1) -0.446167 -1.187208 -0.042177 -0.065672
(0.27767) (1.42290) (0.05260) (0.33489)
D(LER) -0.012990 -0.506157 -0.003591 -0.093485
(0.01625) (0.08327) (0.00308) (0.01960)
D(LGDP) -1.815388 -17.95945 -1.909092 -2.442755
(1.86939) (9.57971) (0.35410) (2.25466)
D(LR) -0.243701 0.689786 0.028495 -0.143002
(0.14453) (0.74065) (0.02738) (0.17432)
D(LSV) 2.254608 -0.666087 0.502927 -1.519823
(1.76836) (9.06196) (0.33496) (2.13280)