Insight into the Female Longevity Puzzle: Using Register Data to Analyse Mo...

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英文文献：Insight into the Female Longevity Puzzle: Using Register Data to Analyse Mortality and Cause of Death Behaviour Across Socio-economic Groups-洞察女性寿命之谜:利用登记数据分析社会经济群体的死亡率和死亡原因行为
英文文献作者：Malene Kallestrup-Lamb,Carsten P.T. Rosenskjold
英文文献摘要：
This paper analyses the complexity of female longevity improvements. As socio-economic status influence health and mortality, we partition all individuals, at each age and year, into ten socio-economic groups based on an affluence measure. We identify the particular socio-economic groups that have been driving the standstill for Danish women and within each socio-economic group we further analyse the cause of death pattern. Further, we compare the forecast performance of the Lee-Carter model with the multi-population Li and Lee model. The decline in life expectancy for Danish women is present for all subgroups, however with particular large decreases for the low-middle and middle affluence groups. We find that causes of deaths related to smoking partly contribute to the slowdown in female longevity. However the lack of improvements in deaths relating to ischemic heart diseases is dominant in explaining the slowdown and the following catch up effect in life expectancies.

本文分析了女性寿命提高的复杂性。由于社会经济地位影响健康和死亡率，我们根据富裕程度将每个年龄和年份的所有个人划分为10个社会经济群体。我们确定了导致丹麦妇女停滞不前的特定社会经济群体，并在每个社会经济群体中进一步分析了死亡原因模式。此外，我们将Lee- carter模型与多种群Li和Lee模型的预测效果进行了比较。丹麦妇女的预期寿命在所有亚群中都出现了下降，但中低收入和中等富裕群体的预期寿命降幅尤其大。我们发现，与吸烟相关的死亡原因在一定程度上导致了女性寿命的缩短。然而，与缺血性心脏病有关的死亡情况缺乏改善，这是导致预期寿命减缓和以下赶超效应的主要原因。

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