2# gssdzc
不好意思 写错了
我做了好几次 取对数 没一阶差分就平稳了 是不是哪里出错了
Null Hypothesis: LNM2 has a unit root
Exogenous: Constant
Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=10)
t-Statistic Prob.*
Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic -5.207922 0.0001
Test critical values: 1% level -3.552666
5% level -2.914517
10% level -2.595033
*MacKinnon (1996) one-sided p-values.
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Equation
Dependent Variable: D(LNM2)
Method: Least Squares
Date: 05/13/10 Time: 22:20
Sample (adjusted): 2005M07 2010M02
Included observations: 56 after adjustments
Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
LNM2(-1) -0.677052 0.130004 -5.207922 0.0000
C 8.720857 1.672376 5.214652 0.0000
R-squared 0.334340 Mean dependent var 0.014923
Adjusted R-squared 0.322013 S.D. dependent var 0.441070
S.E. of regression 0.363177 Akaike info criterion 0.847208
Sum squared resid 7.122466 Schwarz criterion 0.919542
Log likelihood -21.72182 Hannan-Quinn criter. 0.875252
F-statistic 27.12245 Durbin-Watson stat 2.139050
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000003
这是lnm2的 检验结果