摘要翻译:
技术变革过程可以被看作是一个由产生周期性现象的累积性因素所支配的非确定性系统。在这方面,可以系统地分析技术的发展和衰退过程,为企业的技术管理和国家的创新政策设计最佳做法。在这一视角下,本研究聚焦于美国录音音乐产业技术的演变。实证结果表明,在本文所研究的部门中,技术变化具有技术创新的反复波动。特别是,在市场演化过程中,技术周期在被新技术替代之前的上升阶段要长于下降阶段。结果表明,彻底的创新是工业和企业变革以及经济和社会变革周期性现象的主要来源之一。
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英文标题:
《Cyclical phenomena in technological change》
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作者:
Mario Coccia
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最新提交年份:
2020
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分类信息:
一级分类:Economics 经济学
二级分类:General Economics 一般经济学
分类描述:General methodological, applied, and empirical contributions to economics.
对经济学的一般方法、应用和经验贡献。
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一级分类:Quantitative Finance 数量金融学
二级分类:Economics 经济学
分类描述:q-fin.EC is an alias for econ.GN. Economics, including micro and macro economics, international economics, theory of the firm, labor economics, and other economic topics outside finance
q-fin.ec是econ.gn的别名。经济学,包括微观和宏观经济学、国际经济学、企业理论、劳动经济学和其他金融以外的经济专题
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英文摘要:
The process of technological change can be regarded as a non-deterministic system governed by factors of a cumulative nature that generate cyclical phenomena. In this context, the process of growth and decline of technology can be systematically analyzed to design best practices for technology management of firms and innovation policy of nations. In this perspective, this study focuses on the evolution of technologies in the U.S. recorded music industry. Empirical findings reveal that technological change in the sector under study here has recurring fluctuations of technological innovations. In particular, cycle of technology has up wave phase longer than down wave phase in the process of evolution in markets before it is substituted by a new technology. Results suggest that radical innovation is one of the main sources of cyclical phenomena for industrial and corporate change, and as a consequence, economic and social change.
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PDF链接:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2010.03168