怎么解释这段协正的结果的?!

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Date: 03/12/07 Time: 16:10
Sample (adjusted): 1982 2004
Included observations: 23 after adjustments
Trend assumption: Linear deterministic trend (restricted)
Series: XF Y
Lags interval (in first differences): 1 to 1
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Trace)
Hypothesized		Trace	0.05
No. of CE(s)	Eigenvalue	Statistic	Critical Value	Prob.**
None *	0.851192	49.06428	25.87211	0.0000
At most 1	0.203978	5.246962	12.51798	0.5613
Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegration Rank Test (Maximum Eigenvalue)
Hypothesized		Max-Eigen	0.05
No. of CE(s)	Eigenvalue	Statistic	Critical Value	Prob.**
None *	0.851192	43.81731	19.38704	0.0000
At most 1	0.203978	5.246962	12.51798	0.5613
Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level
* denotes rejection of the hypothesis at the 0.05 level
**MacKinnon-Haug-Michelis (1999) p-values
Unrestricted Cointegrating Coefficients (normalized by b'*S11*b=I):
XF	Y	@TREND(81)
-0.041842	0.024648	0.629903
-0.011335	0.008725	-0.230154
Unrestricted Adjustment Coefficients (alpha):
D(XF)	50.34546	-15.61782
D(Y)	32.96275	-23.96608
1 Cointegrating Equation(s):		Log likelihood	-213.9005
Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
XF	Y	@TREND(81)
1.000000	-0.589062	-15.05426
	(0.01075)	(1.32604)
Adjustment coefficients (standard error in parentheses)
D(XF)	-2.106562
	(0.38861)
D(Y)	-1.379233
	(0.52628)

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关键词：unrestricted coefficients observations Integrating coefficient 解释 结果

excuse me, could you tell me what programme do you use in this project~

Trace test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level

Max-eigenvalue test indicates 1 cointegrating eqn(s) at the 0.05 level

-----------------轨检验和最大特征值检验都表示有1个协整方程存在。

1 Cointegrating Equation(s):

Normalized cointegrating coefficients (standard error in parentheses)

标准化后的协整方程。

你最好整理一下，否则会下错结论

对误差修正项进行平稳性检验，误差修正项是平稳的了酒桌名这个协整关系是正确的。