楼主: ideallee81
5218 11

[学科前沿] 求助各位大侠:时间序列平稳性检验 [推广有奖]

11
yujie_li 发表于 2012-12-6 10:59:37
jason_bi 发表于 2011-2-13 12:50
对于一阶单整变量,只要对其进行一阶差分,它就变成了弱相关平稳的序列了(伍德里奇《计量经济学-现代观点》 ...
您说的回归是直接OLS还是其他什么回归,或协整?

12
cbqywl 发表于 2012-12-7 15:14:01
when x1 is I(1), then the difference should be I(0), they regression of I(0) variable on another I(0) variable is simply a classic regression problem. The asymptotic theory is almost same as iid case. The coinetgration is often refered to such case: two (or more) variable shares common stochatic trend(unit root) such that some linear commination of the variable can be I(0). I.e., y=beta*x+u, x and y are both I(1) but u is I(0). In practice, the coinetgration takes same form as simple regression, but the limit theory is different. waht I mean is, when economic theory suggests that there's relationship between level variables, then it should be cautious in using difference data. However, it's often waht people do in empirical analysis that taking difference to deal with such kind of problem. Because otherwise, there should be a so-called model inconsistence problem. y=beta*x+u, when u is stationary, and x is stationary, it's no way that y is I(1).

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 我要注册

本版微信群
加好友,备注jltj
拉您入交流群
GMT+8, 2025-12-25 13:58