摩根大通：尼日利亚银行业研究报告2009年8月

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Table of Contents
Executive Summary .................................................................4
Elevated provisions and trading losses .................................8
NIM will be structurally lower medium term.........................12
Non-interest revenue (NIR) to slow but remain robust .......14
Credit growth to slow but to remain robust among the
larger banks ............................................................................15
Capital raising.........................................................................17
Banking consolidation ...........................................................18
Naira weakness and stock market liquidity .........................19
Appendix I: Key bank assumptions ......................................20
Appendix II: Capital markets provisioning assumptions....22
Appendix III: Valuations.........................................................23
Appendix IV: Stock liquidity ..................................................24
Appendix V: Bank Profiles.....................................................25
First Bank of Nigeria plc ........................................................26
Guaranty Trust Bank plc........................................................27
Intercontinental Bank plc.......................................................28
Oceanic Bank plc....................................................................29
Union Bank of Nigeria plc......................................................30
United Bank for Africa plc .....................................................31
Zenith Bank plc.......................................................................32

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