一个投行的分析，如果爆发全面的经济冲突，可能的场景是什么？抱歉，这样的文章，不可能是中文，因为会直接被删除。其实就是一个简单的思维推导，有什么可怕的呢？

这种思维训练，是非常有益的。

Trade Talks May Resume After G-20 But They’ll Still Fail: CA-CIB

By?Livia Yap

(Bloomberg) –?

China-U.S. trade talks will likely resume after the leaders meet at the G-20 summit but they’ll still fail in the medium term, Credit Agricole SA says.

Sees 60% odds of a multi-year full-blown economic and geopolitical war, which will be “less costly to both sides than accepting the demands of the other party,” senior emerging markets strategist?Dariusz Kowalczyk?writes in note

Expects U.S. to impose 25% tariffs on most of China’s remaining exports by year-end and China to retaliate with tariff and non-tariff policies lik