以下是引用nie在2005-4-16 21:27:20的发言: 问:政治不稳定(political instability)一定导致经济停滞(economic stagnation)吗?
这道题被用来考博士。
这里的政治不稳定包括最高领导人非正常更替,发生起义或内战等等。
请用制度经济学或经济史的观点或史料分析,请不要发表任何没有深度的观点。版主将对高质量的帖子奖励。
Those are really cutting-edge fields of institutional explanations of development. As to my knowledge, a couple of working paper funded by the world bank and NBER have systematically and emprically studied such relations---the effect of sudden demise of national leaders and civil wars on economic growth. One thing worth noting is, again, endogeneity. For example, it could be that bad economy makes the likelihood of civil war higher, ceteris paribus. Hence, how to handle the endogeneity is by no means a trivial question. The often-introduced econometric remedy is intrumental varaibe techniques which are claimed to sort out the pure effect of instituions on economic performance. This is the state of art.
[此贴子已经被作者于2005-4-21 12:08:32编辑过]