2010年1月亚太金融行业研究报告

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【出版时间及名称】：2010年1月亚太金融行业研究报告
        【作者】：瑞士信贷
        【文件格式】：pdf
        【页数】：30
        【目录或简介】：

overall in Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capitalisation due mainly to the
deduction of minorities (-20 bp) and investment in associates (-20 bp) on the
numerator and market risk-weight additions (-20 bp) on the denominator.
The main markets affected are Singapore (pro forma CET1 falls 2.1% but
remains healthy at 8.6%, within which OCBC declines to 6.7%), Malaysia
(-1.6% within which Public declines to 5.8%, Maybank to 5.8%, CIMB Group
to 6.7%*) and Hong Kong (-1.5% to a still strong 9.5%). The key names that
fall below 8.0% CET1 as of the latest accounts are shown in Figure 1.
■ Three caveats: 1) there is a fair margin of error in our calculations due to
the lack of proper disclosures/guidance by Asian banks (Taiwan banks do
not even report the group level tier 1), 2) implementation is set for 2012
which allows banks three years to pursue various options, and 3) some of
the provisions in the Basel 3 proposal may be watered down.
■ The situation by 2012: A few banks (notably Woori and several Taiwanese
banks) may still not reach 8.0% CET1 by 2012, even if they preserve all
earnings and do not pay any dividend as per our estimates. But generally
most Asian banks should comfortably meet regulations and, if needed,
constrain asset growth or trim dividends. CMB is already working towards a
rights issue, Public might do one, Woori and Shinhan may be prompted by
their regulators. HSBC seems like a candidate for paring dividends.

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