【发展经济学】领导人与经济发展——基于中国城市的证据
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来源：人大经济论坛
1 论文标题
Subnational Leaders and Economic Growth Evidence from Chinese Cities
2 作者信息
Yang Yao and Muyang Zhang
3 出处和链接
http://www.nsd.edu.cn/cn/userfiles/Other/2011-12/2011122215162654986173.pdf CCER working paper No. E2011006， 2011.12
4 摘要
AbstractThis paper extends Jones and Olken (2005) to study the role of subnational leaders in economic growth using city-leader pair data collected from China’s 18 provinces for the period 1994-2008. With a significant number of leaders working in more than one city in their observed careers, our data allow us to compare leaders across cities and improve on Jones and Olken’s test. Further exploration shows that our sample does not suffer from biased attrition and our estimates of the leader effects are robust to transitory shocks and are not affected by nonrandom moves of leaders. Using the leaders’ personal effects estimated from our test, we find that more capable leaders focus more on the growth of the secondary sector than on the primary and tertiary sectors. In addition, we obtain finer results than Li and Zhou (2005)’s for the promotion in the Chinese political hierarchy. We find that personal ability is a better predictor than economic growth and its effect increases with a leader’s age.
Subnational Leaders and Economic Growth Evidence from Chinese Cities
2 作者信息
Yang Yao and Muyang Zhang
3 出处和链接
http://www.nsd.edu.cn/cn/userfiles/Other/2011-12/2011122215162654986173.pdf CCER working paper No. E2011006， 2011.12
4 摘要
AbstractThis paper extends Jones and Olken (2005) to study the role of subnational leaders in economic growth using city-leader pair data collected from China’s 18 provinces for the period 1994-2008. With a significant number of leaders working in more than one city in their observed careers, our data allow us to compare leaders across cities and improve on Jones and Olken’s test. Further exploration shows that our sample does not suffer from biased attrition and our estimates of the leader effects are robust to transitory shocks and are not affected by nonrandom moves of leaders. Using the leaders’ personal effects estimated from our test, we find that more capable leaders focus more on the growth of the secondary sector than on the primary and tertiary sectors. In addition, we obtain finer results than Li and Zhou (2005)’s for the promotion in the Chinese political hierarchy. We find that personal ability is a better predictor than economic growth and its effect increases with a leader’s age.
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