【劳动经济学】The China Syndrome
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来源：人大经济论坛
1 论文标题
The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States
2 作者信息
David H. Autor David Dorn Gordon H. Hanson
3 出处和链接（比如，NBER working paper No.11000）NBER Working Paper No. 18054 Issued in May 2012
http://economics.mit.edu/files/6613
4 摘要
We analyze the effect of rising Chinese import competition between 1990 and 2007 on local
U.S. labor markets, exploiting cross-market variation in import exposure stemming from initial
differences in industry specialization while instrumenting for imports using changes in Chinese
imports by industry to other high-income countries. Rising exposure increases unemployment,
lowers labor force participation, and reduces wages in local labor markets. Conservatively, it
explains one-quarter of the contemporaneous aggregate decline in U.S. manufacturing employment. Transfer benefits payments for unemployment, disability, retirement, and healthcare also
rise sharply in exposed labor markets.
The China Syndrome: Local Labor Market Effects of Import Competition in the United States
2 作者信息
David H. Autor David Dorn Gordon H. Hanson
3 出处和链接（比如，NBER working paper No.11000）NBER Working Paper No. 18054 Issued in May 2012
http://economics.mit.edu/files/6613
4 摘要
We analyze the effect of rising Chinese import competition between 1990 and 2007 on local
U.S. labor markets, exploiting cross-market variation in import exposure stemming from initial
differences in industry specialization while instrumenting for imports using changes in Chinese
imports by industry to other high-income countries. Rising exposure increases unemployment,
lowers labor force participation, and reduces wages in local labor markets. Conservatively, it
explains one-quarter of the contemporaneous aggregate decline in U.S. manufacturing employment. Transfer benefits payments for unemployment, disability, retirement, and healthcare also
rise sharply in exposed labor markets.
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