2010年2月全球宏观经济研究及投资策略(免费)
发布:bigfoot0517 | 分类:宏观经济学
关于本站
人大经济论坛-经管之家:分享大学、考研、论文、会计、留学、数据、经济学、金融学、管理学、统计学、博弈论、统计年鉴、行业分析包括等相关资源。
经管之家是国内活跃的在线教育咨询平台!
经管之家新媒体交易平台
提供"微信号、微博、抖音、快手、头条、小红书、百家号、企鹅号、UC号、一点资讯"等虚拟账号交易,真正实现买卖双方的共赢。【请点击这里访问】
统计
- 统计学 | 医学统计学与SPSS ...
- 统计学 | 统计学的世界
- 统计学 | 人工智能本质是统 ...
- 统计学 | 统计学读硕士就去 ...
- 统计学 | 统计学要学哪些课 ...
- 统计学 | 如何学习统计学
- 统计学 | 金融统计学 第2版 ...
- 统计学 | 湖南商学院北津学 ...
TOP热门关键词
【出版时间及名称】:2010年2月全球宏观经济研究及投资策略【作者】:花旗银行【文件格式】:PDF【页数】:84【目录或简介】:GlobalEconomicOutlookandStrategyFebruary2010Despitemarketnervousnessoverso ...
扫码加入金融交流群 |
【作者】:花旗银行
【文件格式】:PDF
【页数】:84
【目录或简介】:
Global Economic Outlook and Strategy
February 2010
Despite market nervousness over sovereign credit worries and tightening global
liquidity, we believe that global recovery is becoming more firmly entrenched.
We continue to make more upgrades than downgrades to our 2010 growth
forecasts across major economies, although as before the pattern remains
uneven – with Asia leading and Europe lagging. This month, we have
significantly raised our 2010 GDP growth forecasts for Canada, Japan,
Argentina, Poland and, especially, Russia. In addition, our 2010 inflation
forecasts are creeping up in several emerging markets.
China has taken a strong start to removing stimulus in 2010, although we do
not expect the PBOC to hike rates until Q3. For the US, recovery is steadying
labour markets and boosting private income, but lingering credit strains hint
that the Fed will wait until much later this year to begin raising overnight rates.
For the euro area, we have revised down our 2010 GDP forecast for a third
consecutive time. The ECB is unlikely to hike its main policy rate this year.
Chief Economist Essay (see page 6): While near-term global growth prospects
are improving, the medium-term outlook will depend on decisions on three
vitally important issues: US fiscal policy, FX policies of China and other highgrowth
emerging markets, and the EU/euro area sovereign debt crisis.
We do not expect worries over sovereign credit among some EU countries to
derail risk assets in general. Nevertheless, after strong rallies, our strategists
believe investors need to be selective. Citi rate strategists argue that investors
should take market rallies as opportunities to set short positions in major bond
markets, most notably in US treasuries. Citi equity strategists continue to look
for a roughly 30% rebound in EPS in 2010, allowing global equities to grind
higher. Citi credit strategists are rather dubious about the risk/reward in
positioning for any rally in Europe, but more positive on US credit.
Forecast Highlights 3
Overview — Still Positive On Global Growth 4
Chief Economist Essay 6
Economic Forecast Overview 22
Change in Economic Forecast from the Previous Month 23
Short Rate Forecasts 24
10-Year Yield Forecasts 24
10-Year Yield Spread Forecasts 24
Foreign Exchange Forecasts 25
Long-Term Forecasts 26-27
Country Commentary 28
United States 28
Japan 29
Euro Area 30-32
UK 33
Switzerland 34
Nordics 34
Canada 35
Australia and New Zealand 36
China 37
Brazil 38
Mexico 38
Argentina 39
Venezuela 39
Russia 40
Turkey 40
Poland 41
Czech Republic 42
Romania 42
Nigeria 43
South Africa 43
India 44
Korea 44
Hong Kong 45
Singapore 45
Rates Strategy 48
Credit Outlook 50
Global Equity Strategy 52
Securitised Products Strategy 54
Citi Commodity Price Forecasts 58
Citi Foreign Exchange Forecasts 61
Appendix A-1 82
「经管之家」APP:经管人学习、答疑、交友,就上经管之家!
免流量费下载资料----在经管之家app可以下载论坛上的所有资源,并且不额外收取下载高峰期的论坛币。
涵盖所有经管领域的优秀内容----覆盖经济、管理、金融投资、计量统计、数据分析、国贸、财会等专业的学习宝库,各类资料应有尽有。
来自五湖四海的经管达人----已经有上千万的经管人来到这里,你可以找到任何学科方向、有共同话题的朋友。
经管之家(原人大经济论坛),跨越高校的围墙,带你走进经管知识的新世界。
扫描下方二维码下载并注册APP
免流量费下载资料----在经管之家app可以下载论坛上的所有资源,并且不额外收取下载高峰期的论坛币。
涵盖所有经管领域的优秀内容----覆盖经济、管理、金融投资、计量统计、数据分析、国贸、财会等专业的学习宝库,各类资料应有尽有。
来自五湖四海的经管达人----已经有上千万的经管人来到这里,你可以找到任何学科方向、有共同话题的朋友。
经管之家(原人大经济论坛),跨越高校的围墙,带你走进经管知识的新世界。
扫描下方二维码下载并注册APP
您可能感兴趣的文章
本站推荐的文章
- 管理学 | 管理学理论在实际运用中为什么会 ...
- 管理学 | 财务管理学
- 管理学 | 管理学论文
- 管理学 | 中级管理管理学
- 管理学 | 罗宾斯管理学笔记 背诵版
- 管理学 | 终于找到管理学 13th
- 工商管理 | 工商管理专业考acca是不是很难
- 工商管理 | 求教,想要经济学考研,本科自考 ...
人气文章
本文标题:2010年2月全球宏观经济研究及投资策略(免费)
本文链接网址:https://bbs.pinggu.org/jg/jingji_hongguanjingjixue_728518_1.html
2.转载的文章仅代表原创作者观点,与本站无关。其原创性以及文中陈述文字和内容未经本站证实,本站对该文以及其中全部或者部分内容、文字的真实性、完整性、及时性,不作出任何保证或承若;
3.如本站转载稿涉及版权等问题,请作者及时联系本站,我们会及时处理。